Worldwide Smartphone 2013–2017 Forecast and Analysis

Worldwide Smartphone Forecast Update, 2017–2021

IDC, Date of Publication: Sep 18, 2017, 17 Pages
US$4,500.00
IDC-US43064617

This study presents the updated five-year forecast for smartphone shipments worldwide by device vendors. The worldwide smartphone market will reach a total of 1.5 billion units shipped in 2017, up 1.7% from the 1.47 billion units shipped in 2016. From there, shipments will reach 1.73 billion units in 2021, the final year of our forecast period, resulting in a CAGR of 3.3%.

The ultra-high-end gamut of the smartphone market continues to flourish in various markets, as we expect the average selling price (ASP) of a smartphone to increase over 7% in 2017. Premium phablet offerings from a variety of vendors look to be the main driving force behind the growth of devices with screens 5.5in. and larger, which are set to grow over 34% in 2017 across all operating systems. The average selling price of these devices is also expected to increase 9.0%, as we await the arrival of ultra-premium devices such as the iPhone X, Note 8, V30, Essential Phone, and the second-generation Pixel. The large-screen phenomenon shows no signs of slowing down, as phablets will make up 40% of the smartphone market by the end of 2017. By 2021, phablets will control slightly over 51% of the market, proving that bigger is most often better to most consumers.

Worldwide Smartphone Forecast Update
TABLE OF CONTENTS

List of Attachments
IDC Market Forecast Figure
Figure: Worldwide Smartphone Shipment Snapshot
Executive Summary
Advice for Technology Suppliers
The $1,000 Phone Is Upon Us
Continue to Improve Core Features
Market Forecast
Forecast by Operating System
Table: Worldwide Smartphone Shipment Share and Shipments by Operating System, 2016–2021
Figure: Worldwide Smartphone Shipments by Operating System, 2016–2021
Figure: Worldwide Smartphone Shipment Share by Operating System, 2016–2021
Android
iOS
Tizen
Windows Phone
Other
Forecast Comparison: Smartphones Versus Feature Phones
Table: Worldwide Feature Phone and Smartphone Shipments, 2016–2021 (M)
Figure: Worldwide Smartphone and Feature Phone Shipments, 2016–2021
Figure: Worldwide Smartphone and Feature Phone Shipment Share, 2016–2021
Feature Phones
Smartphones
Forecast by Region
Table: Worldwide Smartphone Shipments by Region, 2016–2021 (M)
Figure: Worldwide Smartphone Shipments by Region, 2016–2021
Figure: Worldwide Smartphone Shipment Share by Region, 2016–2021
Smartphone ASP Forecast
Table: Worldwide Smartphone ASPs by Operating System, 2016–2021 ($)
Figure: Worldwide Smartphone ASPs by Operating System, 2016–2021
Market Context
Drivers and Inhibitors
Drivers
High-End Growth
Screen Sizes
Inhibitors
Exchange Rates
Economy
Significant Market Developments
Changes from Prior Forecast
Table: Worldwide Smartphone Shipments by Region, 2011–2021: Comparison of June 2017 and September 2017 Forecasts (M)
Figure: Worldwide Smartphone Shipments, 2011–2021: Comparison of June 2017 and September 2017 Forecasts
Market Definition
Feature Phone
Smartphone
Phablet
Methodology
Primary Data Sources
Secondary Sources
Related Research

Date of Publication:
Sep 18, 2017
File Format:
PDF via E-mail
Number of Pages:
17 Pages